LISTA DE ARTIGOS PARA O PROJETO FINAL [1] Measuring vulnerability via spatially hierarchical factor models (2012) Hedibert Lopes, Alexandra Schmidt, Esther Salazar, Mariana Gómez and Marcel Achkar Annals of Applied Statistics, 2012, 6, 284-303. DOI: 10.1214/11-AOAS497 [2] On the Long Run Volatility of Stocks (2018) Carlos Carvalho, Hedibert Lopes and Robert McCulloch Journal of the American Statistical Association, 113(523), 1050-1069 https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.2017.1407769 http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2808191 [3] Forecasting with many predictors using Bayesian additive regression trees (2019) Jan Prüser Journal of Forecasting, 38(7), 621-631. https://doi.org/10.1002/for.2587 https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/jforec/v38y2019i7p621-631.html [4] Sparse Predictive Regressions: Statistical Performance and Economic Significance (2019) Daniele Bianchi Andrea Tamoni https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3472622 Posted: 29 Oct 2019 Last revised: 31 Oct 2019 [5] Forecasting with many predictors using Bayesian additive regression trees (2019) Jan Prüser Journal of Forecasting, 38(7), 621-631. https://doi.org/10.1002/for.2587 https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/jforec/v38y2019i7p621-631.html [6] Optimal Asset Allocation with Multivariate Bayesian Dynamic Linear Models (2020) Carlos Carvalho, Jared Fisher and Davide Pettenuzzo Annals of Applied Statistics, 14: 299-338 [7] The illusion of the illusion of sparsity (2021) Bruno Fava and Hedibert Lopes Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, 35(4), 699-720. https://doi.org/10.1214/21-BJPS503 [8] Bayesian Solutions for the Factor Zoo: We Just Ran Two Quadrillion Models (2022) Svetlana Bryzgalova, Jiantao Huang, Christian Julliard https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.13197 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/jofi.13197 [9] Bayesian Modeling of TVP-VARs Using Regression Trees (2023) Niko Hauzenberger, Florian Huber, Gary Koop and James Mitchell https://arxiv.org/abs/2209.11970 [10] Forecasting U.S. inflation using Bayesian nonparametric models (2024) Todd Clark, Florian Huber, Gary Koop and Marcelo Marcellino Annals of Applied Statistics, 18(2), 1421-1444 DOI: 10.1214/23-AOAS1841 https://arxiv.org/abs/2202.13793 [11] Variational Inference for Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions (2024) Mauro Bernardi, Daniele Bianchi and Nicolas Bianco Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 2024, 42(3), 1066–1082. https://doi.org/10.1080/07350015.2023.2290716 [12] Macroeconomic Forecasting with Large Language Models (July 2nd, 2024) Andrea Carriero, Davide Pettenuzzo and Shubhranshu Shekhar https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.00890 [13] How Polarized are Citizens? Measuring Ideology from the Ground-Up (2024) Mirko Draca, Carlo Schwarz The Economic Journal, ueae010, https://doi.org/10.1093/ej/ueae010 https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3154431 [14] Exploring Monetary Policy Shocks with Large-Scale Bayesian VARs (2025) Dimitris Korobilis University of Glasgow - Adam Smith Business School https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5249401 Posted: 14 May 2025, Date Written: May 09, 2025 [15] Forecasting macroeconomic data with Bayesian VARs: Sparse or dense? it depends! (2025) Gruber, L. and Kastner, G. International Journal of Forecasting Available online 26 February 2025 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2025.02.001 [16] Bayesian Neural Networks for Macroeconomic Analysis (2025) Journal of Econometrics, Volume 249, Part C, May 2025, 105843 Niko Hauzenberger, Florian Huber, Karin Klieber and Massimiliano Marcellino https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2024.105843